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M94A3203.TXT
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1994-10-25
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Document 3203
DOCN M94A3203
TI Estimated production loss due to HIV/AIDS mortality in Canada, 1987-91.
DT 9412
AU Hanvelt R; Ruedy N; Hogg RS; Strathdee SA; O'Shaughnessy MV; Montaner
JS; Schechter MT; BC Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver,
Canada.
SO Int Conf AIDS. 1994 Aug 7-12;10(1):13 (abstract no. 025D). Unique
Identifier : AIDSLINE ICA10/94369372
AB OBJECTIVE: To estimate and compare the impact of HIV/AIDS and other
select causes of death on future production loss among Canadian men.
METHODS: Data on all deaths for 1987-1991 attributed to HIV/AIDS and
other select causes were obtained from Statistics Canada. Future
production loss was estimated using a human capital approach based on
potential years of life lost (PYLLs) in men from 25 to 64 years.
Canadian earnings data for 1990 were obtained from Statistics Canada's
1991 Survey of Consumer Finances. The present value of future earnings
in 1990 Canadian dollars was estimated by age and gender assuming 0% and
2% real growth discounted by 3%, 5% and 7%. RESULTS: The indirect cost
of future production due to HIV/AIDS mortality in Canada for the period
1987-91 is estimated to be between $1.4 and $2.6 billion. HIV/AIDS
attributed deaths account for between 4.4 and 5.1% of the total loss.
This loss in future earnings is exceeded only by that for ischaemic
heart disease (15.9% to 17.9%), and cancers of the trachea, bronchus or
lung (7.1 to 8.2%). Overall, these three categories accounted for 28.0
to 30.6% of the estimated production loss for men. CONCLUSIONS: Our
findings demonstrate the dramatic impact of HIV/AIDS mortality on
current and future wealth production in Canada. The adverse impact of
HIV/AIDS mortality on future earnings will likely continue to grow
reflecting the incidence rate of HIV infection. Further, it is likely
that the relative impact of HIV/AIDS is underestimated due to greater
under reporting of HIV/AIDS relative to other causes of death. TABULAR
DATA, SEE ABSTRACT VOLUME.
DE Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/*ECONOMICS/MORTALITY Adult Canada
*Economic Value of Life *Efficiency Human HIV
Infections/*ECONOMICS/MORTALITY Male Middle Age Salaries and Fringe
Benefits/STATISTICS & NUMER DATA MEETING ABSTRACT
SOURCE: National Library of Medicine. NOTICE: This material may be
protected by Copyright Law (Title 17, U.S.Code).